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Vermilion County Covid 19 update 10/8/2020

Our REGIONAL positivity rate went down to 7%.   Vermilion County’s latest weekly rate (ending in 10/4) is now at 10.6% (full chart is at the end of the email).  When looking at our recent cases vs. Region 6 (without Champaign), Vermilion County has accounted for 16%-41% of our region’s cases in the last week.  There are 20 counties (21 with Champaign) in our Region and we are leading in the case load.  Macon County is behind us with a range of 12%-37%.  While this isn’t completely surprising in the fact that we are the next two in line for population size behind Champaign, Macon County has been testing a lot more people, so they are not in the warning area for positivity.  We have the 2nd highest 7 day rolling positivity rate only behind Clay County which is 13.2.     

 

Also, just a reminder that we post our cases to you once we have talked to them and verified that they are really a positive case in our county.  Because we have been backlogged with cases lately, we have increased the number of staff doing contact tracing so we have been able to catch up some (hence the large number yesterday), although new cases continue every day. 

 

Looking at the daily and weekly positivity rate from IDPH gives us a better look at how we are really doing in real time.  Daily and weekly rates are on the attached graphic.  The below graphic (which is now added to our infographic) looks at the difference between the positive tests and total tests each day.  Normally, the more you test, you may find more disease, but you also usually see the positivity rate go down if there is less illness as you can see in the beginning of the chart.  At the end of the chart, the number of positives are getting much closer to the number tested which correlates with our high positivity rate.  We have not seen a huge increase in the total number of tests, that has roughly remained constant.     Essentially, more people are positive, and we do not have robust testing available in Vermilion County.   

 

 

Update on Cases

 

Today’s Cases:  34 new cases and 20 were released.  This puts our active cases at 242 with 9 in the hospital and 233 at home in isolation. 1 of our new cases is hospitalized.  We have 2 toddlers, 2 preschool children, 2 grade school child, 1 teen, 3 their 20s, 3 in their 30s, 2 in their 40s, 5 in their 50s, 4 in their 60s, 8 in their 70s and 2 in their 80s.   15 of the cases are connected by households, family, or previous contacts.    

 

Thank you to those who provided me with feedback yesterday.   I thought I would add a few of the summarized comments I received.  Many of these were talked about by multiple people:

  • Non-compliance of wearing face masks
  • Children leaving schools and taking off their masks but continuing to talk to the person beside them or hanging out after for long periods of time with no social distancing
  • Families traveling and coming back and not getting tested or quarantining until the whole family shows symptoms
  • Fall gatherings, weddings, parties, social events where precautions are not being taken
  • Some stores no longer wiping down keypads
  • Many people just not taking precautions
  • Because of the implications of mandated isolation, many are not getting tested or evading medical diagnosis and not staying home
  • Because it has downplayed by many on Facebook or the media, it isn’t seen as a big deal and people would prefer to get it and be out 10 days instead of quarantined for 14. 
  • Misinformation
  • Not enough testing

 

Rumor Mill

 

  • The Rumor is:  you only need to get tested if you are symptomatic.  This is UNTRUE.  Due to the significance of asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic transmission, it is still highly recommended to test asymptomatic persons, including close contacts of a person with documented SARS-CoV-2 (COVID19) infection – MASKED OR UNMASKED  per CDC guidance

 

 

 

 

Statistics

Vermilion County

Total Negatives:  29,432

Total positives: 948

For All the County Metrics:  http://www.dph.illinois.gov/countymetrics

For County and School Metrics:  http://www.dph.illinois.gov/countyschool?county=Vermilion 

 

Regionally (Region 6) EXCLUDING CHAMPAIGN COUNTY

Test Positivity 7 Day Rolling Average: 5 days of positivity increases at 7%

Hospital Admissions 7 Day Rolling Average:  2 day of hospital admission increases       

For Regional Metrics, including the breakdown by county:  http://www.dph.illinois.gov/regionmetrics

 

 

 

Charts

 

Positivity Rates:  This can also be found at the following link if you want to see the other counties that are in our region.  You will have to scroll down all the way to see them. http://www.dph.illinois.gov/regionmetrics?regionID=6  

 

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